Wednesday, September 13, 2006

"Support for Republican Governor Rick Perry continues to droop."

Texas Governor: In Crowded Campaign, Perry at 33%

September 13, 2006

Rasmussen Reports
Copyright 2006

As support for Republican Governor Rick Perry continues to droop, Independent candidate Carole Keeton Strayhorn has again captured second place in the unusual four-way race for Texas Governor.

The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll in Texas finds that Likely Voters now allocate their support as follows: Governor Rick Perry 33%, Chris Bell (D) 18%, Carole Keeton Strayhorn (I) 22%, Kinky Friedman (I) 16% (see crosstabs).

For most of the year, Perry led the pack with about support in the 40% range. But he slid from 40% in July to 35% last month, and hasn't recovered in the current poll.

With not one but two support-seizing Independent candidacies in this Texas tussle, the Governor has been unable to tackle just his Democratic opponent, Chris Bell. And Bell, who joined a three-way tie for second place in August, now scratches out only two points more than the fourth-place finisher.

It doesn't look as if voters are much inclined to migrate to the major-party candidates as Election Day draws near; Strayhorn, for one, is obviously benefiting from voters' continued willingness to credit her own maverick bid. And like the Governor's, her campaign is relatively well-financed.

Perry and Strayhorn both recently launched television ad campaigns.

The incumbent is still best-positioned to win, given the lack of any runoff requirements in Texas. However, Governor Perry's favorables have weakened since August. He is now viewed favorably by only 48% of Likely Voters, a six-point drop. Last month, 18% viewed him "very favorably," an equal number "very unfavorably." Only 15% now view him very favorably, 22% very unfavorably.

Strayhorn, who among the four is most often seen as a moderate by voters, is now viewed favorably by 53%, up from 45%. Favorables for both Bell and Friedman are weaker.

© 2006 Rasmussen Reports: www.rasmussenreports.com

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